MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 31st is Tampa Bay

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Tampa Bay:

Fixture: Arizona @ Tampa Bay
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 31, 2013
Pick: Tampa Bay
Odds: -176 (1.57 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 4 game Interleague series played in St. Petersburg. Tampa Bay won 5-2 last night.

Tampa Bay is leading American League with 64-43 record. They are 21-4 in July. Arizona is second in National League West with 54-52 record. They are on 3 game losing streak.

Tampa Bay Rays are MLB best 10-1 in Interleague games, while Arizona is 3-4.

Arizona is 1-5 in their last 6 Interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter, 1-6 in their last 7 Interleague road games, 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.

Jeremy Hellickson will be starting for Tampa Bay tonight. He is 10-3, 4.48 ERA after 21 starts in 2013. He is 8-1, 3.17 ERA in last 10 starts. Six out of his last seven starts were quality starts. Tampa Bay has won Hellickson's last seven starts during which he's gone 6-0, 2.09 ERA. Hellickson has never faced Arizona before. Tampa Bay is 10-1 in Hellickson's last 11 starts and 4-1 in Hellickson's last 5 Interleague starts.

Arizona is sending out Wade Miley, who is 7-8, 3.86 ERA in 21 starts this season. Miley is 3-1, 1.89 ERA in 5 July starts after going 1-6, 5.88 ERA in the previous 9. Arizona is 1-4 in Miley's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest, 1-5 in Miley's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 1-7 in Miley's last 8 starts during game 2 of a series and 0-4 in Miley's last 4 road starts.

Tampa Bay is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings against Arizona and 5-2 in the last 7 home meetings against them and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 30th is Kansas City

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Kansas City:

Fixture: Kansas City @ Minnesota
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 30, 2013
Pick: Kansas City
Odds: -127 (1.79 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Minneapolis. Kansas City leads the season series 7-3, outscoring Minnesota 45-32.

Kansas City is third in American League Central with 51-51 record. They are 8-2 after the All Star break and on 6 game winning streak. Minnesota is fourth in the same division with 45-57 record. They are 23-24 at home.

Minnesota's catcher Joe Mauer is coming back to the lineup after missing 6 games because he was with his wife for the birth of their twins. Although he is one of the American Leagues top hitters at .324, he is just 7 for 43 (.163) with 10 strikeouts against Kansas City,

Mike Pelfrey will be Minnesota's starter. He is 4-8, 5.15 ERA after 18 starts in 2013. Pelfrey recorded just 1 win in in his last 12 starts, losing 5 games during that period. He is 2-3, 5.33 ERA in 9 home starts. Pelfrey is 0-1, 9.72 ERA in 2 career starts against Kansas City. Minnesota is 3-7 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts on grass, 2-7 in Pelfrey's last 9 starts as an underdog and 2-8 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Kansas City is sending out Ervin Santana, who is 6-6, 3.06 ERA in 20 starts this season. Santana was excellent in his last 2 starts, recording a win against Detroit and a no-decision against Baltimore. In 15.1 innings of work combined he has allowed just. Santana is 3-0, 2.08 ERA in his last 4 starts against Minnesota. Kansas City is 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts vs. American League Central teams, 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts.

Kansas City is 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings against Minnesota and I expect the to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 29th is Oakland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Oakland:

Fixture: Toronto @ Oakland
Time/Date: 10:05 PM ET, July 29, 2013
Pick: Oakland
Odds: -157 (1.64 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Oakland and the first time this two teams meet this season.

Oakland leads American League West with 62-43 record and they are the best home team in American League with 33 victories in 49 home games. Oakland is on 3 game winning streak. Toronto is last in American League East with 48-56 record. They are 20-28 on the road.

In the period from from July 8-20 Oakland went 4-4 averaging just 1.6 runs per game, but since then they are 6-2 averaging 5.0 runs per game.

Oakland's defense has allowed 100 runs less than Toronto's. Oakland's pitching staff ranks 6th in MLB (1st in American League) with 3.60 team ERA, while Toronto's pitchers are 29th with 4.35 team ERA.

A.J. Griffin will be starting for Oakland tonight. He is 9-7, 3.84 ERA after 21 starts in 2013. Griffin has recorded 3 wins in his last 4 outings allowing 9 earned runs while striking out 19 in 24.1 innings of work combined. Griffin has 2 career starts against Toronto, going 1-0 while tossing 7.2 scoreless innings. Oakland is 5-0 in Griffin's last 5 starts as a favorite, 11-2 in Griffin's last 13 starts as a home favorite, 15-3 in Griffins last 18 home starts and 5-1 in Griffin's last 6 starts.

Toronto is sending out Esmil Rogers, who is 3-4, 3.74 ERA in 10 starts and 23 relief appearances this season. He is 0-2 in his last 6 starts allowing 18 earned runs on 45 hits and 10 walks in 35.2 innings of work combined.

Toronto is 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog and 1-9 in their last 10 games following a win.

Oakland is 6-1 in their last 7 vs. American League East teams and 6-1 in their last 7 Monday games. They've won 23 of their last 29 home games and I expect them to win tonight,

No picks today

Hi all,

there will be no picks today by MLB Daily Picks. Please come back tomorrow for more free picks.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 27th is Chicago White Sox

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Chicago White Sox:

Fixture: Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 27, 2013
Pick: Chicago White Sox
Odds: -166 (1.60 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-4 with our last 11 picks.

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Chicago. Kansas City won 5-1 last night. Season series is tied 5-5.Chicago outscored Kansas City 30-19 in those 10 games.

Chicago White Sox are last in American League Central with 40-60 record. Kansas City is third in the same division with 49-51 record.

Strong pitching is a main reason for Kansas City great results lately, but today the White Sox have a big advantage in starting pitching.

Kansas City is sending out Wade Davis, who is 4-9, 5.92 ERA in 19 starts this season. He has recorded 4 losses in his last 4 starts (with 10.91 ERA) allowing 19 earned runs and 12 walks in 15.2 innings of work combined. Davis is also 1-6, 5.88 ERA over his last 11 starts. He has baseball's highest ERA and WHIP (1.81) of any pitcher with at least 97 innings pitched. His away games ERA of 7.71 is more than 3 runs higher compared to his home games ERA of 4.55. Kansas City is 0-5 in Davis' last 5 starts.

Chris Sale will be starting for the White Sox tonight. He is 6-9, 2.81 ERA after 18 starts (including 2 complete games) in 2013. All of his last 5 starts were quality ones, but because of poor run support he is only 1-3 during that period. He had 51 strikeouts in those 5 games, pitching 3 times for 8 innings. Sale held Kansas City to 1 run in 7.1 innings on May 6 but was forced to settle for a no-decision. He is 3-0 in last 3 home starts against Kansas City. Chicago White Sox are 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-0 in Sale's last 5 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 8-1 in Sales last 9 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 11-3 in Sales last 14 starts as a home favorite.

Chicago White Sox are 5-2 in Sale's last 7 starts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 3-12 in their last 15 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200, 1-5 in their last 6 road games, 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and I expect them to lose tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 26th is Pittsburgh

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Pittsburgh:

Fixture: Pittsburgh @ Miami
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 26, 2013
Pick: Pittsburgh
Odds: -160 (1.63 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-3 with our last 10 picks and making profit of +2.40 units for a flat bettor.

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Miami.

Pittsburgh is second in National League Central, but they have the second best record in MLB with 60-40. They are 28-22 on the road and they've won 4 out of their last 5 overall. Miami is second worst team in entire MLB with 38-62 record and they are 21-27 at home.

Pittsburgh's offense has scored 389 runs, 70 more than Miami. Their defense has allowed 340 runs, 72 less than Miami's defense.

Pittsburgh's pitching staff has the best team ERA in MLB, 3.09.

Jeff Locke will be starting for Pittsburgh tonight. He is 9-2, 2.11 ERA in 19 starts this season. He has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 7 starts and 3 runs or less in 13 straight starts. Locke has allowed just 6 home runs in 115 innings pitched. Locke has been great pitching at home, going 4-1, 2.56 in 9 starts, but he is even better on the road, where he is 5-1, 1.73 in 10 starts. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in Locke's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Locke's last 5 starts as a favorite.

Miami is sending out Henderson Alvarez, who is 0-1, 3.28 ERA after 4 starts in 2013. In 27 innings pitched so far he has allowed 9 earned runs on 27 hits and 7 walks, while striking out 11. Alvarez has never faced Pittsburgh before.

Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Pittsburgh is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings against Miami and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 25th is Detroit

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Detroit:

Fixture: Detroit @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 2:10 PM ET, July 25, 2013
Pick: Detroit
Odds: -137 (1.73 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-2 with our last 9 picks and making profit of +3.40 units for a flat bettor.

This will be the final game of 4 game series played in Chicago. Detroit won all 3 games last days, 7-3 on Monday, 6-2 on Tuesday and again 6-2 last night. They are leading the season series 4-2 outscoring the White Sox 34-29.

Detroit is leading American League Central with 56-44 record. They are 27-25 on the road and they are on 4 game winning streak. Chicago White Sox are last in the same division with 39-59 record, 16 games behind Detroit. They are the 3rd worst team in entire MLB and second worst home team in MLB with just 21 victories in 46 games played in Chicago.

Detroit is 24-15 against American League Central opponents while Chicago is only 11-21.

Detroit's offense has scored 505 runs so far, 136 more than Chicago's offense. Detroit is in the top 2 in MLB in most of the offensive stats. They have most hits in MLB with 991, best batting average (.280) and sharing the top with Boston with on-base-percentage of .346 . They are second in runs scored (505), RBI's (489) and OPS (.785).

Justin Verlander will be Detroit's starter today. He is 10-7, 3.69 ERA in 21 starts this season. Verlander is 14-11, 4.02 ERA in 28 career starts against the White Sox. He hasn't lost at Chicago since 2008, going 5-0 since. This being a day game it's important to notice that Verlander has been great in day games this season, going 6-2, 2.12 ERA in 11 day starts. Detroit is 18-3 in Verlander's last 21 starts during game 4 of a series, 15-4 in Verlander's last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 38-13 in Verlander's last 51 starts vs. American League Central teams and 16-7 in Verlander's last 23 Thursday starts.

Chicago White Sox are sending out Jake Peavy, who is 7-4, 4.19 ERA after 12 starts in 2013. He recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago against Atlanta, but has lost 2 previous games allowing 12 earned runs in 6.1 innings of work combined. Peavy has allowed 70 hits, including 11 home runs, in 73 innings pitched this season. He is 3-5, 4.80 ERA in 11 career starts against Detroit. Chicago White Sox are 2-6 in Peavy's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 3-15 in Peavy's last 18 starts as an underdog, 1-5 in Peavy's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest, 1-6 in Peavy's last 7 starts as a home underdog and 0-7 in Peavy's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Detroit's right fielder Torii Hunter homered last night and is 6-for-13 with 5 RBI's against Peavy.

Detroit is 5-0 in Verlander's last 5 road starts against the White Sox, 12-2 in Verlander's last 14 starts against them and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Chicago White Sox are 1-11 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are 1-4 in Peavy's last 5 home starts against Detroit and 0-5 in Peavy's last 5 starts against Detroit and I expect them to lose tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 24th is LA Dodgers

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is LA Dodgers:

Fixture: LA Dodgers @ Toronto
Time/Date: 7:07 PM ET, July 24, 2013
Pick: LA Dodgers
Odds: -105 (1.95 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the final game of 3 game Interlague series played in Toronto. LA Dodgers won first two games, 14-5 on Monday night and 10-9 yesterday.

LA Dodgers scored 33 runs in their last 3 games. They are leading National League West with 52-47 record. They are on 5 games winning streak. Toronto is last in American League East with 45-54 and they are on 6 game losing streak.

LA Dodgers are 11-3 since acquiring Ricky Nolasco from Miami. Nolasco will be starting for the Dodgers tonight. He is 6-9, 3.75 ERA after 21 starts in 2013. Nolasco is is 1-1, 3.12 ERA in 3 starts since being acquired. Nolasco is better pitching away where his ERA of 3.01 is 1.5 runs better compared with home games ERA of 4.57. He pitched 6 innings in his only career start against Toronto back in 2009, allowing 2 runs on 5 hits while striking out 9 a 7-3 Florida win.

Toronto's starter will be Esmil Rogers, who is 3-4, 3.84 ERA in 9 starts and 23 relief appearances this season. Rogers is winless in his last 5 starts, going 0-2 during that period and allowing 16 earned runs in 28.2 innings of work combined. He hasn't had much success against the Dodgers, going 0-1, 6.23 ERA in 3 starts while pitching for Colorado in 2010 and 2011.

Toronto is 2-8 in their last 10 games as an underdog. LA Dodgers won 22 out of their last 27 games overall and they are 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 23rd is Colorado

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Colorado:

Fixture: Miami @ Colorado
Time/Date: 8:40 PM ET, July 23, 2013
Pick: Colorado
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 4 game series played in Denver. Miami won 3-1 last night.

Colorado is third in National League West with 48-52 record, they are 28-23 at home. Miami is last in National League East with 36-61 record. Despite winning yesterday they are still the worst road team in MLB with just 15 victories in 49 away games.

Miami scored 3 runs yesterday, but before that they've gone 37 innings without a run, longest such streak in MLB in last 28 years. Miami has the weakest defense in MLB with just 309 runs scored in 97 games, just 3.19 runs per game. Colorado scored 441 runs, holding the 8th place in MLB.

Colorado is one of two teams in National League who have 3 players with 50 or more RBI's, left fielder Carlos Gonzalez (66), right fielder Michael Cuddyer (56) and shortstop Troy Tulowitzki (55).

Jhoulys Chacin will be starting for Colorado tonight. He is 9-4, 3.50 ERA in 18 starts this season. Chacin is 6-1, 1.94 ERA in his last 7 starts, only once allowing more than 2 runs during that period. His 3.64 career ERA is the lowest in Colorado's history (only including pitchers with at least 75 starts). Colorado is 4-0 in Chacin's last 4 starts as a home favorite, 4-0 in Chacin's last 4 starts as a favorite, 4-1 in Chacin's last 5 home starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Chacin's last 5 starts vs. National League East teams.

Miami's starter will be Jose Fernandez, who is 5-5, 2.75 ERA after 18 starts in 2013. Rookie Fernandez has allowed fewer than 2 runs in 9 out of his 18 starts, and opponents are hitting just .196 against him, but Miami is 1-4 in Fernandez's last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

Miami is 1-4 in their last 5 games as an underdog, 1-4 in their last 5 overall, 2-8 in their last 10 Tuesday games, 1-7 in their last 8 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 0-4 in their last 4 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

Colorado is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a loss and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 22nd is Detroit

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Detroit:

Fixture: Detroit @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 22, 2013
Pick: Detroit
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 4 game series played in Chicago. White Sox are leading the season series 2-1.

Detroit is leading American League Central with 53-44 record and they are 24-25 on the road. Chicago White Sox are last in the same division with 39-56 record. They are 21-22 at home.

Detroit is one of the best offensive teams in MLB, they are in top 2 in most of offensive categories.They have most hits in MLB with 962 (White Sox are only 21st with 812), and they have the best team batting average with .280 (White Sox are 19th with .250). They are second with 486 runs scored, second with 494 RBI's, second in on-base-percentage with .435 and second in OPS with .781.

Detroit's third baseman Miguel Cabrera leads MLB in batting average with .359 He is batting .453 with 7 home runs and 15 RBI's in his last 16 games against Chicago White Sox.

Max Scherzer will be Detroit's starter tonight. He is 13-1, 3.19 ERA after 19 starts in 2013. He recorded his only loss in the last start before the All Star break where he was a starter for American League team. Detroit's offense has provided Scherzer with a MLB best 7.29 run-support average, and his 152 strikeouts also rank among the most in MLB. He is especially good pitching on the road where his ERA of 2.20 is 2 runs better compared with his home games ERA of 4.40. Scherzer is 5-4, 2.51 ERA in 13 career starts against the White Sox. Detroit is 4-0 in Scherzer's last 4 road starts, 10-1 in Scherzer's last 11 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 6-1 in Scherzer's last 7 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150 and 8-2 in Scherzer's last 10 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

Chicago White Sox haven't provided much offense for their tonight's starter Chris Sale, 2.70 run-support average ranks last in MLB. He has received fewer than 3 runs of support in 10 of 17 starts. Sale is 6-8, 2.85 ERA in 17 starts this season. He recorded a win in his last start 11 days ago in Detroit, but he was 0-6, 3.10 ERA in previous 7 starts. Before that win Sale was 0-3, 6.00 ERA in previous 3 starts against Detroit. Chicago White Sox are 1-4 in Sales last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Chicago White Sox right fielder Alex Rios went 6-for-12 with a homer, double, stolen base and 8 RBI's in the three-game series against Atlanta last weekend, but he is just 3 for 24 against Scherzer. Scherzer is also dominant against Chicago's shortstop Alexei Ramirez who is just 3 for 30 against him.

Detroit is 35-17 in the last 52 meetings against the White Sox and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 21st is Oakland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Oakland:

Fixture: Oakland @ Los Angeles Angels
Time/Date: 3:35 PM ET, July 21, 2013
Pick: Oakland
Odds: -120 (1.83 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the final game of 3 game series played in Los Angeles. LA Angels took first 2 games, 4-1 on Friday night and 2-0 yesterday. Despite losing last 3 games against the Angels Oakland is leading the season series 5-3, outscoring LA Angels 45-36.

Oakland is leading American League West with 56-41 record. They are 26-26 on the road. LA Angels are 3rd in the same division with 46-49 record, 9 games behind Oakland.

Oakland has scored just 1 run, 10 hits and 20 strikeouts in losing the first two games of this series without Yoenis Cespedes. He hurt himself in the third round of batting practice on Friday. Caspedes is day to day, but expected to play today.

Bartolo Colon will be starting for Oakland today. He is 12-3, 2.70 ERA in 19 starts this season. Colon is 9-1 in his last 12 starts, allowing 3 runs twice and 2 or fewer in each of the other 10 outings. In 126.2 innings of work combined Colon has allowed just 15 walks while striking out 70. Colon is 10-6 in 21 career outings against the Angels, but he hasn't faced them this year. He went 2-1, 1.66 ERA in 3 starts against them last season. Oakland is 5-0 in Colon's last 5 road starts, 4-0 in Colon's last 4 starts as a road favorite, 5-0 in Colon's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series, 5-0 in Colon's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150, 5-0 in Colon's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 10-1 in Colon's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 14-2 in Colon's last 16 starts as a favorite.

LA Angels are sending out Jerome Williams, who is 5-5, 4.60 ERA after 12 starts and 11 relief appearances in 2013. Williams is 0-2, 19.13 ERA in his last 3 starts, failing to last past the fourth inning in any of them. He has allowed four runs over 9 innings in 3 relief appearances against Oakland this year. Williams is 3-3, 3.86 ERA in 7 career starts against them. LA Angels are 2-8 in Williams' last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 2-8 in Williams' last 10 home starts and 1-5 in Williams' last 6 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Oakland is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings in Los Angeles and I expect them to win today.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 20th is Cleveland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cleveland:

Fixture: Cleveland @ Minnesota
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 20, 2013
Pick: Cleveland
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Minneapolis. Minnesota won 3-2 last night, but Cleveland is leading the season series 4-3, outscoring Minnesota 34-29.

Cleveland is second in American League Central with 51-45 record. Minnesota is 4th in the same division with 40-53 record, 9.5 games behind Cleveland. They are 22-23 at home and with last night's victory they've snapped a 5 game home losing streak.

Cleveland's center fielder Michael Bourn went 2 for 4 with 2 RBI's yesterday. He is 10 for 17 in 4 games against Minnesota this year. Their second baseman Jason Kipnis had been 12 of 24 with 12 RBI's in 6 games versus Minnesota this season before going 0 for 3 last night.

Corey Kluber will be starting for Cleveland tonight. He is 7-5, 3.88 ERA after 15 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2013. Cleveland has won 6 of his last 7 starts and Kluber went 4-1, 3.15 ERA during that period. He has been especially efficient over his last 2 starts, striking out 18 in 14 innings of work combined. Kluber has allowed 3 runs on 8 hits in 5.2 innings to earn a win over Minnesota on June 22 and is 1-1, 4.67 ERA in 5 career starts against them. Cleveland is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts vs. American League Central teams.

Minnesota is sending out Kevin Correia, who is 6-6, 4.23 ERA in 18 starts this season. He is 0-1, 6.61 ERA in his last 3 starts, he has been having some control problems because he has allowed 11 walks in those 3 starts. He recorded a loss at Cleveland on May 4, when he has allowed 2 homers in the first inning. Minnesota is 1-4 in Correia's last 5 starts vs. American League Central teams, 0-4 in Correia's last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in Correia's last 4 starts.

Minnesota is 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Cleveland is 4-1 in their last 5 overall and 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 19th is San Francisco

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is San Francisco:

Fixture: Arizona @ San Francisco
Time/Date: 10:15 PM ET, July 19, 2013
Pick: San Francisco
Odds: -121 (1.83 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in San Francisco. San Francisco is leading the season series 6-3, outscoring Arizona 45-34.

San Francisco is 4th in National League West with 43-51 record. They are 25-20 at home. Arizona is leader of National League West with 50-45 record and they are 23-25 on the road.

San Francisco won three of four over San Diego before All Star Break. They hit .307 with 24 runs over that stretch. Their catcher Buster Posey entered the break going 14 for 29 (.483) with 8 RBI's in 7 games. He is 9 for 24 (.375) in his career against Ian Kennedy, who is starting for Arizona tonight.

Kennedy is 3-6, 5.42 ERA in 18 starts this season. He hasn't recorded a win in his last 7 starts, losing 3 of them. During that period he has allowed 29 earned runs on 50 hits while walking 16 in 39.2 innings of work combined. Arizona is 1-6 in Kennedy's last 7 starts and 0-6 in Kennedy's last 6 starts vs. National League West teams.

San Francisco is sending out Chad Gaudin. He is 3-1, 2.39 ERA after 6 starts and 18 relief appearances this season. Gaudin is 3-0, 2.70 ERA in 6 starts since replacing the injured Ryan Vogelsong. He has been especially good pitching at home where his ERA of 0.69 is almost 3 runs better compared with his away games ERA of 3.55. Gaudin has allowed only 2 earned runs during his last 3 starts, 16.1 innings.

Arizona is 2-8 in their last 10 games as a road underdog and they've lost five of their last 6 games against San Francisco.

All Star break

Hi all,

MLB 2013 season has come to the half point - All Star break. We will continue with free picks on Friday 19th. Hopefully we will continue our good run, 3 wins with our last 3 picks.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 14th is St. Louis

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is St. Louis:

Fixture: St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs
Time/Date: 8:00 PM ET, July 14, 2013
Pick: St. Louis
Odds: -142 (1.70 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the final game of 4 game series played in Chicago. Chicago Cubs won 3-0 on Thursday and 6-4 last night. St. Louis won 3-2 on Friday. Chicago Cubs are leading the season series 5-4, but St. Louis outscored them 30-23 in those 9 games.

St. Louis shares the MLB lead with Pittsburgh with 56-36 record. They are the team with most road wins in entire MLB with 29. Chicago Cubs are 4th in National League Central with 42-50 record. They are 22-25 a home.

St. Louis offense scored 74 runs more than Cubs offense and St. Louis defense allowed 55 runs less compared with the Cubs.

Adam Wainwright will be starting for St. Louis tonight. He is 12-5, 2.30 ERA in 19 starts this season. Wainwright is 2-0, 2.25 ERA in last 3 starts allowing 6 earned runs while striking out 20 in 24 innings of work combined.  In his 19 starts, he has pitched at least 7 innings 15 times and has allowed 1 or fewer earned runs 9 times. St. Louis is 10-1 in Wainwright's last 11 starts as a road favorite, 9-1 in Wainwright's last 10 starts as a road favorite of -110 to -150, 12-2 in Wainwright's last 14 road starts and 5-1 in Wainwright's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Starting for the Cubs will be left-handed Travis Wood, who is 6-6, 2.69 ERA in 18 starts this season. He is 1-3 in his last 7 starts. Wood is 3-3 in 8 career appearances against St. Louis, including a road loss on June 17 in which he has allowed 4 runs and 7 hits in 7 innings of work. Chicago Cubs are 1-4 in Wood's last 5 Sunday starts, 2-9 in Wood's last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record, 3-15 in Wood's last 18 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 1-6 in Wood's last 7 starts and 0-4 in Wood's last 4 starts vs. National League Central teams.

St. Louis is 7-2 in Wainwright's last 9 road starts against the Cubs, Chicago Cubs are 1-4 in Wood's last 5 starts vs. St. Louis.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 13th is Los Angeles Dodgers

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Los Angeles Dodgers:

Fixture: Colorado @ Los Angeles Dodgers
Time/Date: 7:15 PM ET, July 13, 2013
Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers
Odds: -148 (1.68 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the third game of 4 game series played in Los Angeles. The Dodgers won 6-1 on Thursday and Colorado won 3-0 yesterday. Colorado leads the season series 6-5.

LA Dodgers are second in National League West with 46-46 record. Colorado is 3rd within the same division with 45-49 record.

LA Dodgers pitching staff is ranked 6th in MLB with 3.66 ERA and their relievers have a 0.73 ERA in the last 8 games. Colorado's pitchers are ranked only 26th with 4.25 ERA.

Zack Greinke will be starting for the Dodgers tonight. He is 7-2, 3.91 ERA after 13 starts in 2013. He recorded 4 wins in his last 4 starts allowing 10 earned runs and striking out 24 in 27 innings of work combined. Greinke is especially good pitching at home going 4-0, 2.70 ERA in 6 home starts. He is 2-1, 5.68 ERA in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance against Colorado. LA Dodgers are 4-0 in Greinke's last 4 starts as a home favorite, 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5, 4-0 in Greinke's last 4 starts vs. National League West teams, 6-0 in Greinke's last 6 home starts and 6-1 in Greinke's last 7 starts as a favorite.

Colorado is sending out Tyler Chatwood, who is 5-2, 2.74 ERA in 11 starts this season. He is 3-3, 3.94 ERA in 6 starts against the Dodgers, including a 10-8 loss to Greinke on July 3 when he allowed season highs of 6 runs and 11 hits in 5 innings of work. Colorado is 2-5 in Chatwood's last 7 starts.

LA Dodgers shortstop Hanley Ramirez is batting .444 in his last 24 games. He is hitting .448 (13 for 29) against Colorado this season and is 4 for 7 against Chatwood.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 12th is Arizona

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Arizona:

Fixture: Milwaukee @ Arizona
Time/Date: 9:40 PM ET, July 12, 2013
Pick: Arizona
Odds: -163 (1.61 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 4 game series played in Phoenix. Arizona is leading season series 4-0 after sweeping Milwaukee back in April and winning last night 5-3. Arizona outscored Milwaukee 25-13 in those 4 games.

Arizona Diamondbacks are the leaders of National League West with 48-44 record. They are 25-19 at home. Milwaukee is last in National League Central and second worst team in National League with 37-54 record. They are one of the worst road teams in MLB with just 15 victories in 43 away games.

Milwaukee's left fielder Ryan Braun missed last nights game and will skip at least two more after he was placed on the bereavement list due to a family medical issue.

Arizona's first baseman Paul Goldschmidt is on 8 game hitting streak. He is 13-for-31 in his career versus Milwaukee pitching.

Milwaukee is sending out left-handed Tom Gorzelanny, who is 1-2, 2.12 ERA after 2 starts and 32 relief appearances in 2013. He recorded those 2 losses in his last two games.

Patrick Corbin will be starting for Arizona tonight. He is 10-1, 2.40 ERA in 18 starts this season. Seven of his last 10 starts were quality ones. He has been perfect pitching at home, gong 6-0, 1.56 ERA in 9 starts. In his last start, 5 days ago, against Colorado he recorded a win allowing 1 earned run while striking out 10 in 8 innings of work. Corbin has only start against Milwaukee. On April 6 he gave up 2 runs in 6 innings of a 9-2 road victory. Arizona is 10-1 in Corbin's last 11 home starts, 9-1 in Corbin's last 10 starts as a home favorite, 5-1 in Corbin's last 6 starts vs. National League Central teams, 10-2 in Corbin's last 12 starts with 4 days of rest and 9-2 in Corbin's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Arizona is 6-1 in last 7 home games against Milwaukee and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 11th is St. Louis

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is St. Louis:

Fixture: St. Louis @ Chicago Cubs
Time/Date: 8:05 PM ET, July 11, 2013
Pick: St. Louis
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 4 game series played in Chicago. St. Louis is leading the season series 4-2, outscoring the Cubs 23-14.

St. Louis is the best team in MLB at the moment with 55-34 record. They are also the best road team in MLB with 28 victories in 46 away games. St. Louis is on a 5 game winning streak. Chicago Cubs are 4th in National League Central with 40-49 record, 15 games behind St. Louis. They are 20-24 at home.

Jake Westbrook will be starting for St. Louis tonight. He is 5-3, 2.78 ERA after 11 starts in 2013. Westbrook was excellent in his last start 6 days ago against Miami allowing just 1 earned run on 3 hits in 7 innings of work. He is 4-0, 2.35 ERA in his last 6 starts against the Cubs. Westbrook faced them last on June 19th, picking a win by throwing 7 scoreless innings. He has not allowed a homer to a current Cubs player in a combined 148 plate appearances.

Chicago Cubs are sending out Edwin Jackson, who is 5-10, 5.50 ERA in 17 starts this season. Jackson picked up 2 wins in his last 2 starts, but hasn't had too much success in his last 2 starts against St. Louis, going 0-2, 16.20 ERA. Chicago Cubs are 2-6 in Jackson's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150, 2-6 in Jackson's last 8 home starts and 2-7 in Jackson's last 9 starts vs. National League Central teams.

St. Louis second baseman Matt Carpenter has batted .360 with 14 extra-base hits (4 home runs and 17 RBI's) in his last 18 games.

St. Louis is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings against the Cubs and I expect them to win tonight.

No pick today

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MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 9th is Cincinnati

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cincinnati:

Fixture: Cincinnati @ Milwaukee
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 9, 2013
Pick: Cincinnati
Odds: -135 (1.74 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Milwaukee. Milwaukee won 4-3 last night. Cincinnati is leading the season series 5-2, outscoring Milwaukee 34-25.

Cincinnati is 3rd in National League Central with 50-39 record. Milwaukee is last in the same division with 36-52 record, 13-5 games behind Cincinnati. Milwaukee is 21-25 at home this season.

Cincinnati is sending out a lefty Tony Cingrani, who is 3-0, 3.40 ERA after 8 starts and 5 relief appearances in 2013. He is back in the rotation because of Johnny Cueto’s injury. Cingrani allowed 2 runs in 5.2 innings of a 3-2 win over San Francisco 6 days ago, his first start since June 11. He faced Milwaukee on May 10 and surrendered 2 runs on 5 hits in 4 innings of work. Cincinnati is 4-0 in Cingrani's last 4 starts as a favorite, 5-1 in Cingrani's last 6 starts and 4-1 in Cingrani's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Wily Peralta will be starting for Milwaukee tonight. He is 5-9, 5.27 ERA in 18 starts this season. Only 3 out of his last 10 starts were quality ones. His home games ERA of 6.12 is almost 2 runs worse compared to his road games ERA of 4.37. He received an average of 2.43 runs of support in his last 7 games, including a total of 3 runs over his last 4. Peralta is 0-2, 3.78 ERA in 3 career starts against Cincinnati. Milwaukee is 3-8 in Peralta's last 11 starts, 1-4 in Peralta's last 5 home starts and 0-5 in Peralta's last 5 starts vs. National League Central teams.

Milwaukee is 2-8 in their last 10 games following a win and 3-13 in their last 16 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Cincinnati is 13-4 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing record, 13-4 in their last 17 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 9-3 in their last 12 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Cincinnati is 6-2 in the last 8 h2h meetings against Milwaukee and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 8th is New York Yankees

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is New York Yankees:

Fixture: Kansas City @ New York Yankees
Time/Date: 7:05 PM ET, July 8, 2013
Pick: New York Yankees
Odds: -146 (1.68 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 4 game series played in New York. Yankees lead the season series 3-0 after sweeping the Royals in Kansas City back in May, outscoring them 18-10.

New York Yankees are 4th in American League East with 48-40 record and they are 25-19 at home. Kansas City is 3rd in American League Central with 41-44 record.

Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 games overall and they are 5-0 in last 5 games against Kansas City.

Phil Hughes will be starting for the Yankees tonight. He is 4-7, 4.55 ERA after 16 starts in 2013. In his last 2 starts, in 15 innings of work combined, Hughes has allowed just 3 earned runs while striking out 8. He is 5-1 in 7 career starts against Kansas City, recording 5 wins in last 5 games. Yankees are 6-1 in Hughes' last 7 starts during game 1 of a series.

Starting for Kansas City will be Jeremy Guthrie, who is 7-6, 4.29 ERA in 17 starts this season. He is 0-3, 6.95 ERA in his last 4 starts allowing 15 earned runs and 11 walks in 22 innings of work combined. Guthrie is 4-9, 5.15 ERA in 15 starts and 2 relief appearances against the Yankees. Kansas City is 1-4 in Guthrie's last 5 road starts.

New York's left fielder Vernon Wells hit a pair of homers in May series against Kansas City. He has gone 8 for 21 (.381) in his last 5 games against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog, 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog, 0-5 in their last 5 during game 1 of a series and I expect them to lose tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 7th is Boston

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Boston:

Fixture: Boston @ LA Angels
Time/Date: 8:00 PM ET, July 7, 2013
Pick: Boston
Odds: +121 (2.21 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the final game of 3 game series played in Los Angeles. Boston won 6-2 on Friday night and LA Angels won 9-7 yesterday. Boston leads the season series 3-2.

Boston Red Sox are leading American League with 54-35 record. They are 23-19 on the road. LA Angels are 3rd in American League West with 42-45 record. They are 23-25 at home.

Boston is leading most of the offensive stats in MLB. They've scored most runs - 458, most RBI's - 444, they have the best on-base-percentage - .351 and the best slugging percentage - .449.

Boston's center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury has hit safely in 16 straight games.

John Lackey will be starting for Boston tonight. He is 6-5, 2.81 ERA after 14 starts in 2013. He has been impressive in his last 4 starts recording 3 wins and 1 no-decision with 2.17 ERA. In 29 innings of work combined during that period he has allowed just 7 runs, while striking out 27. Opponents are batting .246 against him this year. Lackey is 4-1, 4.32 ERA in 5 starts against the Angels. Boston is 6-1 in Lackey's last 7 Sunday starts, 8-2 in Lackey's last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Lackey's last 5 starts.

LA Angels starter for tonight will be Jered Weaver, who is 2-4, 3.79 ERA after 9 starts this season. Weaver recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago against St. Louis, but he was 0-3 in his previous 5 starts. Weaver is 1-3, 4.78 ERA in his last 5 starts against Boston. LA Angels are 1-4 in Weavers last 5 Sunday starts.

Boston's designated hitter David Ortiz is 11 for 34 with 3 home runs against Weaver.

Boston won 9 out their last 11 games. They are 7-0 in their last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 7-0 in their last 7 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.

Boston is the best underdog bet of the day!

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 6th is Pittsburgh

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Pittsburgh:

Fixture: Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs
Time/Date: 4:05 PM ET, July 6, 2013
Pick: Pittsburgh
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Chicago. Pittsburgh won 6-2 last night. They are leading the season series 7-3, outscoring the Cubs 31-17.

Pittsburgh is the beast team in MLB with 53-32 record. They are 24-17 on the road and they are 11-2 in their last 13 games overall.Chicago Cubs are 4th in National League Central with 36-48 record. They have only 17 victories in 40 home games so far.

Pittsburgh's pitching staff has the beast team ERA in MLB with 3.14, the Cubs are 14th with 3.92 ERA. Pittsburgh's relievers are ranked 4th in MLB with 2.92 ERA, while Chicago's relievers are 25th with 4.24 ERA.

Pittsburgh's left fielder Starling Marte is batting .373 during a 10-game hitting streak (including six multiple-hit games) with 9 of his 19 hits going for extra bases. He improved to 8 for 21 (.381) with 5 stolen bases during his last 5 games against the Cubs after going 3 for 6 with two steals yesterday. Their left fielder Andrew McCutchen is 7-for-17 with 2 home runs against Edwin Jackson, who will be starting for the Cubs today.

Jackson is 4-10, 5.75 ERA after 16 start in 2013. He is just 1-5, 6.69 ERA in 7 home starts. Jackson recorded a win in his last start 6 days ago in Seattle, but before that he had 2 consecutive losses with cumulative ERA of 9.00. Jackson is 1-2 in 3 starts against Pittsburgh this season. Chicago Cubs are 1-4 in Jackson's last 5 starts as a home underdog, 1-5 in Jackson's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest, 1-6 in Jackson's last 7 home starts and 1-7 in Jackson's last 8 starts vs. National League Central teams.

Pittsburgh is sending out Charlie Morton who is returning from Tommy John surgery. He went 1-1, 2.50 ERA in 4 starts this season. Since allowing a career-worst 10 runs to Chicago Cubs on August 14th, 2009, Morton is 2-1, 1.71 ERA in 4 starts against them.

Pittsburgh is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Chicago and 6-1 in the last 7 meetings against the Cubs and I'm expecting Pittsburgh to win today.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 5th is Boston

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Boston:

Fixture: Boston @ LA Angels
Time/Date: 10:05 PM ET, July 5, 2013
Pick: Boston
Odds: +124 (2.24 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Los Angeles. Boston leads the season series 2-1.

Boston Red Sox are leading American League with 53-34 record. They are 22-18 on the road and they are on a 4 game winning streak. LA Angels are 3rd in American League West with 41-44 record. They are 22-24 at home.

Boston won 8 out their last 9 games. They are leading most of the offensive stats in MLB. They've scored most runs - 445, most RBI's - 434, they have the best on-base-percentage - .351 and the best slugging percentage - .450.

Boston's center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury is batting .424 during his 14-game hitting streak. Their second baseman Dustin Pedroia is batting .486 with 8 RBI's in his last 10 games overall, and .378 in his last 9 against Los Angeles. He is 8 for 17 with a home run and 3 doubles against Angels' starter C.J. Wilson.

C.J. Wilson is 8-5, 3.63 ERA after 17 starts in 2013. He has recorded 4 wins in his last 4 starts, but he is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 3 starts against Boston. LA Angels are 1-5 in Wilson's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Felix Doubront will be starting for Boston tonight. He is 4-3, 4.22 ERA in 14 starts and 1 relief appearance this season. He went 1-1, 2.75 ERA in 6 June starts.

Boston is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win, 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 4th is Cincinnati

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cincinnati:

Fixture: San Francisco @ Cincinnati
Time/Date: 1:10 PM ET, July 4, 2013
Pick: Cincinnati
Odds: -129 (1.78 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the final game of 4 game series played in Cincinnati. Cincinnati took all 3 games last 3 days: 8-0, 3-1 and 3-2. San Francisco had only 7 hits in those 3 games. They are 2-11 in their last 13 games overall. San Francisco has scored fewer than 3 runs in 10 of its last 13 games.

San Francisco's batters are definitely in poor form lately. Their third baseman Pablo Sandoval is 1-for-29 with 11 strikeouts in his last 29 at-bats, right fielder Hunter Pence is 2 for his last 25 and catcher Buster Posey is hitless in his last 9 at-bats.

San Francisco is last in National League West with 39-45 record and they are only 15-30 on the road. Cincinnati is 3rd in National League Central with 49-36 record. They are one of the best home teams in MLB with 29 wins in 43 games played in Cincinnati.

Mike Leake will be starting for Cincinnati today. He is 7-3, 2.52 ERA after 16 starts in 2013. Leake has been superb in his last 9 starts, going 5-1, 1.31 ERA while allowing 1 earned run or less in 7 out of those 9 games. Leake has been great against San Francisco during a three-start winning streak in the regular season, posting a 0.77 ERA while striking out 19 and walking two in 23.1 innings of work combined. Cincinnati is 6-0 in Leake's last 6 starts as a favorite.

Matt Cain will be San Francisco's starter today. Cain is 5-4, 4.29 ERA in 17 starts this season. He has recorded just 1 victory in his last 6 starts despite allowing 3 runs or fewer 5 times during that period. Cain is 5-6, 3.74 ERA in 12 starts against Cincinnati. San Francisco is 1-4 in Cain's last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 1-4 in Cain's last 5 starts vs. National League Central teams and 3-7 in Cain's last 10 starts vs. Cincinnati.

Cincinnati's right fielder Jay Bruce is 8 for 10 with a home run and 3 doubles against Cain.

Cincinnati is 4-1 in Leake's last 5 starts vs. San Francisco and I expect Cincinnati to win today.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 3rd is New York Yankees

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is New York Yankees:

Fixture: New York Yankees @ Minnesota
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 3, 2013
Pick: New York Yankees
Odds: -153 (1.65 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the third game of 4 game series played in Minneapolis. Yankees won 10-4 on Monday and 7-3 yesterday.

Yankees are 4th in American League East with 44-39 record. Minnesota is 4th in American League Central with 36-44 record. They are on a 3 game losing streak and they've lost 8 out of their last 11 games overall.

New York Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is in a great form lately. He has recorded 5 consecutive multihit games. Cano is 12-for-21 with 4 homers, 8 RBI's and 8 runs scored in his last 5 contests. He has hit .383 with 14 RBI's over his last 15 regular-season games in Minnesota.

CC Sabathia will be starting for the Yankees tonight. He is 8-6, 4.15 ERA in 17 appearances this season. Tonight he is going for his 200th victory and he has a good chance against Minnesota, team he has dominated throughout his career. He is 16-8 against them limiting their batters to a .236 average. Minnesota's best hitters have poor record against Sabathia. Justin Morneau is 6 for 43, Joe Mauer 6 for 35 and Ryan Doumit 3for 17. Sabathia is 8-0, 1.79 ERA in his last 9 starts vs. Minnesota. He has walked 6 and struck out 46 in his last 53.1 innings against Minnesota.

Minnesota is sending out P.J. Walters, who is 2-4, 6.03 ERA after 7 starts in 2013. He has lost his last 4 decisions and hasn't recorded a victory since winning his first 2 starts in late May. In 34.1 innings of work combined he has allowed 23 earned runs on 47 hits and 15 walks. Opponents are batting .324 against him. Walters has allowed 2 home runs in 2 of his last 3 starts. Minnesota is 0-5 in Walters' last 5 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150.

New York Yankees are 29-7 in last 36 games against Minnesota and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 2nd is St. Louis

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is St. Louis:

Fixture: St. Louis @ Los Angeles Angels
Time/Date: 10:05 PM ET, July 2, 2013
Pick: St. Louis
Odds: +111 (2.11 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game Interleague series played in Los Angeles.

St. Louis is the second best team in MLB with 49-32 record. They are the best road team with 27 victories in 43 road games. LA Angels are 3rd in American League West with 39-43 record, they are 20-23 at home.

La Angels defense has allowed 87 runs more than St. Louis defense. St. Louis scored 19 runs more than La Angels. St. Louis pitching staff is ranked 3rd in MLB with 3.31 ERA. Their pitchers have allowed MLB's best - only 52 home runs. LA Angels pitchers are 25th with 4.23 ERA, allowing 24 homers more.

LA Angels designated hitter Albert Pujols will face his former team for the first time tonight. He has only 4 hits in his last 34 at-bats and is hitting just .249 this season.

Lance Lynn will be starting for St. Louis tonight. He is 10-2, 3.52 ERA in 16 starts this season. In 99.2 innings of work so far he has allowed 39 earned runs while striking out 98. Opponents are batting just .217 against him. Lynn never faced the Angels before. St. Louis is 5-1 in Lynn's last 6 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150 and 5-1 in Lynn's last 6 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Starter for La Angels will be Jered Weaver, who is 1-4, 4.15 ERA after 8 starts in 2013. Weaver in winless in his last 5 outings, going 0-3, 4.40 ERA. He is 0-0, 5.00 ERA in 2 starts against St. Louis. LA Angels are 1-4 in Weaver's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.

LA Angels are 1-6 in their last 7 Interleague games vs. a right-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. National League Central teams and 0-4 in their last 4 Interleague games.

St. Louis Cardinals are 6-1 in their last 7 Interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record and 6-1 in their last 7 Interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter and I expect them to win tonight.

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 1st is Arizona

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Arizona:

Fixture: Arizona @ New York Mets
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 1, 2013
Pick: Arizona
Odds: -111 (1.90 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 4 game series played in New York.

New York Mets are 4th in National League East with 33-45 record. They are the worst home team in MLB with just 15 victories in 40 games played in New York. Arizona is leading National League West with 42-39 record. They are 21-23 on the road this season.

Wade Miley will be starting for Arizona tonight. He is 4-7, 4.55 ERA in 16 starts this season. His away games ERA of 3.82 is much better compared to his home games ERA of 6.66. Miley is 0-2 in his last four starts despite allowing just 9 earned runs in 23.2 innings of work during that period. 3 of those 4 starts were quality ones.

New York Mets are sending out Shaun Marcum who is 1-9, 5.08 ERA after 10 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2013. Marcum remains winless at home. He is 0-5, 5.60 ERA in 6 home appearances (5 starts).

New York Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League West teams, 5-18 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.

Arizona is 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 and 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite and I expect them to win tonight.