Sunday, June 30, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for June 30th is Atlanta

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Atlanta:

Fixture: Arizona @ Atlanta
Time/Date: 1:35 PM ET, June 30, 2013
Pick: Atlanta
Odds: -148 (1.68 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle




This will be the final game of 3 game series played in Atlanta. Atlanta won 3-0 on Friday and 11-5 last night. They are now leading the season series 4-3.

Atlanta is leading National League East with 47-34 record. They have the best home record in majors with 27 victories in 38 games played in Atlanta. Arizona is leading National League West with 42-38 record. Arizona lost 5 out of their last 6 games overall and 7 out of their last 8 road games.

Both teams scored 340 runs so far, but Atlanta's defense has allowed 53 runs less than Arizona's.

Atlanta is sending out left handed Paul Maholm. He is 8-6, 3.75 ERA in 16 games in 2013. In his last start, 7 days ago in Milwaukee, he has recorded a win allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Despite that road victory he is not very good on the road where he is 4-4, 5.09 ERA in 10 starts, but at home, Maholm is much better. He is 4-2, 1.80 ERA in 6 home starts. Maholm was 0-3 against Arizona before winning the last matchup, allowing 1 run in 7 innings in an 8-1 victory July 13 last season while pitching for the Cubs. Atlanta is 4-0 in Maholm's last 4 Sunday starts, 7-2 in Maholm's last 9 home starts and 6-2 in Maholm's last 8 starts as a home favorite.

Trevor Cahill will be starting for Arizona today. He is 3-9, 4.29 ERA after 16 starts this season. Cahill is winless in last 7 starts, going 0-5, 7.34 ERA and batters are hitting .329 against him during that period. Cahill is 0-2, 6.75 ERA in 2 career starts against Atlanta, both last season. Arizona is 0-4 in Cahill's last 4 road starts.

Arizona is 4-11 in the last 15 meetings against Atlanta and 1-8 in the last 9 meetings in Atlanta and I expect them to lose today.

Saturday, June 29, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for June 29th is Washington

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Washington:

Fixture: Washington @ New York Mets
Time/Date: 1:10 PM ET, June 29, 2013
Pick: Washington
Odds: +101 (2.01 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle




This will be the second game of 3 game series played in New York. Washington won 6-4 last night. Season series is tied to 3-3 now.

It's interesting to notice that whenever the Mets won against Washington their bullpen hasn't allowed a run. In the other 3 games, their bullpen has given up multiple runs and they have lost. New York Mets relievers have posted a 6.32 ERA against Washington this season.

New York Mets are 4th in National League East with 32-44 record. They are only 14-24 at home. Washington is second in the same division with 40-39 record.

Washington shortstop Ian Desmond has homered in consecutive games and he has recorded 5 homers in his last nine contests. Their third baseman Ryan Zimmerman had a three-run double yesterday, is 4-for-5 with 8 RBI's with the bases loaded this season.

Rookie Taylor Jordan will be starting for Washington today. He started the season with Class A Potomac and was recently with Double-A Harrisburg, going combined 9-1, 1.00 ERA in 14 starts and 1 relief appearance between the two clubs. Taylor had  a pair of shutouts recently. He has struck out 72 and walked 15 over 90.1 innings of work so far this in 2013.

New York Mets are sending out Dillon Gee, who is 5-7, 4.82 ERA after 15 starts this season. In his last start 7 days ago at Philadelphia Gee has allowed 5 earned runs on 8 hits in 5 innings of work.

New York Mets are 2-8 in their last 10 games as a favorite, 4-17 in their last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 1-5 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and 0-9 in their last 9 Saturday games.

Washington is 21-7 in the last 28 meetings against the Mets and 14-3 in the last 17 meetings in New York and I expect them to win today.


Friday, June 28, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for June 28th is Oakland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Oakland:

Fixture: St. Louis @ Oakland
Time/Date: 10:05 PM ET, June 28, 2013
Pick: Oakland
Odds: -106 (1.94 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle





This will be the first game of 3 game Interleague series played in Oakland.

Oakland is second in American League West with 46-34 record. They are 24-12 at home. St. Louis is sharing the lead of National League with Pittsburgh with 48-30 record. St. Louis had a day off yesterday. On Wednesday they've lost 3-4 in Houston and that was their 4th loss in last 5 games. They are are just 13-12 this month after posting a 20-7 record in May.

Oakland won first 2 games of an eight-game homestand after a two-game sweep of Cincinnati. They outscored them 12-3.

Bartolo Colon will be starting for Oakland tonight. He is 10-2, 2.93 ERA after 15 starts in 2013. He has won 7 consecutive starts and is 7-0, 1.41 ERA in last 7 starts. Colon's last 8 starts were quality ones. He is 4-0, 2.68 ERA at home this year. Oakland is 13-3 in Colon's last 16 home starts.

St. Louis is sending out Shelby Miller, who is 8-5, 2.35 ERA in 15 starts this season. He has lost 2 out of his last 3 starts, neither of which was a quality one. He has been tagged for 2 home runs in two of his last three outings.

Oakland is 12-2 in their last 14 Interleague games vs. a right-handed starter and 7-2 against National League teams this season and I expect them to win tonight.


Thursday, June 27, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for June 27th is New York Yankees

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is New York Yankees:

Fixture: Texas @ New York Yankees
Time/Date: 1:05 PM ET, June 27, 2013
Pick: New York Yankees
Odds: +115 (2.15 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle




This will be the final game of 3 game series played in New York. Yankees won 4-3 on Tuesday and Texas won 8-5 last night.

Yankees are second in American League East with 42-35 record. Texas is leading American League West with 45-33 record.

Derek Holland will be starting for Texas today. He is 5-4, 3.43 ERA after 15 starts this season. Holland is winless throughout June going 0-2, 5.40 ERA in last 4 starts. Holland doesn't have a good record against the Yankees either, he is 0-5, 8.85 ERA in 7 starts and 1 relief appearance against them, including 0-3, 7.77 ERA in 4 starts in New York. Holland has allowed 11 home runs in 39.2 innings against the Yankees. Yankees second baseman Robinson Cano is 7-for-19 (.368) with a home run, triple and double against Holland.

New York Yankees are sending out Phil Hughes, who is 3-6, 5.09 ERA in 14 starts in 2013. Although he hasn't been very good pitching at home lately (0-3, 13.91 ERA in last 3 home starts) Yankees are 41-18 in Hughes' last 59 home starts. He will be pitching on 7 days rest.

Yankees outfielder Ichiro Suzuki is batting .373 with 3 home runs and 7 RBI's over his last 13 games. Suzuki is 9 for 33 against Holland and he has homered in both games of this series.

Texas is 3-12 in its last 15 games at Yankee Stadium, they haven't won a series there since Aug. 25-27, 2009 and I expect them to lose today.

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for June 26th is Milwaukee

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Milwaukee:

Fixture: Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, June 26, 2013
Pick: Milwaukee
Odds: -134 (1.75 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle



This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Milwaukee. Milwaukee won 9-3 last night. They are now leading the season series 5-1, outscoring the Cubs 33-20.

Milwaukee is 4th in National League Central with 32-43 record. they've won three of last four and have scored 8 home runs in their past 6 games.The Cubs are 5th in the same division with 31-44 record. They are 14-22 in 36 away games.

Chicago Cubs have huge problems playing National League Central opponents. They are just 9-25 in 34 games against National League Central teams. Their today's starter Scott Feldman is 0-4, 6.65 ERA in 4 starts against National League Central opponents. Feldman lost in Milwaukee on April 21, when he allowed 4 runs in 5 innings. While he is 4-2, 2.54 ERA at home, his road games form is not good at all. In 8 away starts he is 2-4, 4.11 ERA.

Yovani Gallardo will be starting for Milwaukee tonight. He is 6-6, 4.09 ERA in 16 starts this season. He has not allowed an earned run in 21 innings, going 2-0 in his last three starts. Gallardo is 7-2, 2.95 ERA in 14 starts against the Cubs.

Milwaukee is 19-2 in their last 21 home games against the Cubs and I expect them to win tonight.

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Fresh start with Free MLB picks

Hi all,

Here we tried applying 33% System to MLB betting. Since 33% System was designed for betting against the spread in basketball or football with fixed odds of -110 (1.91 in decimal odds) it was no big surprise that it didn't work with MLB. It was an experiment and it didn't work, so we are quitting using 33% System for MLB and will continue posting free MLB picks each day starting tomorrow (Wednesday).