Tuesday, October 1, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for October 1st is Cincinnati

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cincinnati:

Fixture: Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh
Time/Date: 8:07 PM ET, October 1, 2013
Pick: Cincinnati
Odds: +124 (2.24 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle





This will be National League Wild Card Game played in Pittsburgh. The winner of this game travels to St. Louis to face the Cardinals on Thursday in National League Division Series.

This will be the first playoff appearance for Pittsburgh in last 21 years, while Cincinnati is in the playoffs for the third time in four seasons.

Pittsburgh secured home-field advantage by sweeping Cincinnati over the weekend in Cincinnati.

Johnny Cueto will be starting for Cincinnati tonight. He ended regular season with 5-2, 2.82 ERA record in 11 starts. Cueto recorded a no-decision in his last start against the Mets 8 days ago allowing 1 earned run and striking out 5 in 7 innings of work. In 7 out of his last 10 starts he has allowed 1 earned run or less. Cueto is 13-4, 2.37 ERA in 21 career starts against Pittsburgh. He is especially good pitching at at Pittsburgh’s PNC Park, going 8-2, 1.91 ERA and 0.89 WHIP in 13 career starts there. Cincinnati is 6-0 in Cueto's last 6 starts with 7 or more days of rest. Cincinnati is 9-3 in Cueto's last 12 road starts against Pittsburgh.

Pittsburgh is sending out Francisco Liriano, who was 16-8, 3.02 ERA in 28 starts during the regular season. He recorded a loss in his last start 6 days ago against the Cubs allowing 4 earned runs in 5 innings of work. Liriano struggled in September with a 1-2, 5.14 ERA record in 5 starts. He has really poor record against Cincinnati this year with 0-3, 3.70 ERA record in 4 starts.

Pittsburgh is 2-5 in their last 7 home games and I expect them to lose tonight.

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