Fixture: Arizona @ Tampa Bay
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 31, 2013
Pick: Tampa Bay
Odds: -176 (1.57 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle
This will be the second game of 4 game Interleague series played in St. Petersburg. Tampa Bay won 5-2 last night.
Tampa Bay is leading American League with 64-43 record. They are 21-4 in July. Arizona is second in National League West with 54-52 record. They are on 3 game losing streak.
Tampa Bay Rays are MLB best 10-1 in Interleague games, while Arizona is 3-4.
Arizona is 1-5 in their last 6 Interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter, 1-6 in their last 7 Interleague road games, 1-7 in their last 8 games vs. a right-handed starter, 0-4 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600 and 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record.
Jeremy Hellickson will be starting for Tampa Bay tonight. He is 10-3, 4.48 ERA after 21 starts in 2013. He is 8-1, 3.17 ERA in last 10 starts. Six out of his last seven starts were quality starts. Tampa Bay has won Hellickson's last seven starts during which he's gone 6-0, 2.09 ERA. Hellickson has never faced Arizona before. Tampa Bay is 10-1 in Hellickson's last 11 starts and 4-1 in Hellickson's last 5 Interleague starts.
Arizona is sending out Wade Miley, who is 7-8, 3.86 ERA in 21 starts this season. Miley is 3-1, 1.89 ERA in 5 July starts after going 1-6, 5.88 ERA in the previous 9. Arizona is 1-4 in Miley's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest, 1-5 in Miley's last 6 road starts vs. a team with a winning record, 1-7 in Miley's last 8 starts during game 2 of a series and 0-4 in Miley's last 4 road starts.
Tampa Bay is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings against Arizona and 5-2 in the last 7 home meetings against them and I expect them to win tonight.