MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 26th is Pittsburgh

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Pittsburgh:

Fixture: Pittsburgh @ Miami
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 26, 2013
Pick: Pittsburgh
Odds: -160 (1.63 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-3 with our last 10 picks and making profit of +2.40 units for a flat bettor.

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Miami.

Pittsburgh is second in National League Central, but they have the second best record in MLB with 60-40. They are 28-22 on the road and they've won 4 out of their last 5 overall. Miami is second worst team in entire MLB with 38-62 record and they are 21-27 at home.

Pittsburgh's offense has scored 389 runs, 70 more than Miami. Their defense has allowed 340 runs, 72 less than Miami's defense.

Pittsburgh's pitching staff has the best team ERA in MLB, 3.09.

Jeff Locke will be starting for Pittsburgh tonight. He is 9-2, 2.11 ERA in 19 starts this season. He has allowed 2 runs or less in his last 7 starts and 3 runs or less in 13 straight starts. Locke has allowed just 6 home runs in 115 innings pitched. Locke has been great pitching at home, going 4-1, 2.56 in 9 starts, but he is even better on the road, where he is 5-1, 1.73 in 10 starts. Pittsburgh is 6-1 in Locke's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-1 in Locke's last 5 starts as a favorite.

Miami is sending out Henderson Alvarez, who is 0-1, 3.28 ERA after 4 starts in 2013. In 27 innings pitched so far he has allowed 9 earned runs on 27 hits and 7 walks, while striking out 11. Alvarez has never faced Pittsburgh before.

Miami is 3-7 in their last 10 games as an underdog of +110 to +150 and 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.

Pittsburgh is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings against Miami and I expect them to win tonight.