MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 20th is Cleveland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cleveland:

Fixture: Cleveland @ Minnesota
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 20, 2013
Pick: Cleveland
Odds: -125 (1.80 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Minneapolis. Minnesota won 3-2 last night, but Cleveland is leading the season series 4-3, outscoring Minnesota 34-29.

Cleveland is second in American League Central with 51-45 record. Minnesota is 4th in the same division with 40-53 record, 9.5 games behind Cleveland. They are 22-23 at home and with last night's victory they've snapped a 5 game home losing streak.

Cleveland's center fielder Michael Bourn went 2 for 4 with 2 RBI's yesterday. He is 10 for 17 in 4 games against Minnesota this year. Their second baseman Jason Kipnis had been 12 of 24 with 12 RBI's in 6 games versus Minnesota this season before going 0 for 3 last night.

Corey Kluber will be starting for Cleveland tonight. He is 7-5, 3.88 ERA after 15 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2013. Cleveland has won 6 of his last 7 starts and Kluber went 4-1, 3.15 ERA during that period. He has been especially efficient over his last 2 starts, striking out 18 in 14 innings of work combined. Kluber has allowed 3 runs on 8 hits in 5.2 innings to earn a win over Minnesota on June 22 and is 1-1, 4.67 ERA in 5 career starts against them. Cleveland is 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record and 4-0 in Kluber's last 4 starts vs. American League Central teams.

Minnesota is sending out Kevin Correia, who is 6-6, 4.23 ERA in 18 starts this season. He is 0-1, 6.61 ERA in his last 3 starts, he has been having some control problems because he has allowed 11 walks in those 3 starts. He recorded a loss at Cleveland on May 4, when he has allowed 2 homers in the first inning. Minnesota is 1-4 in Correia's last 5 starts vs. American League Central teams, 0-4 in Correia's last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in Correia's last 4 starts.

Minnesota is 2-5 in their last 7 during game 2 of a series and 2-5 in their last 7 games following a win. Cleveland is 4-1 in their last 5 overall and 9-3 in their last 12 games following a loss and I expect them to win tonight.