MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 25th is Detroit

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Detroit:

Fixture: Detroit @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 2:10 PM ET, July 25, 2013
Pick: Detroit
Odds: -137 (1.73 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-2 with our last 9 picks and making profit of +3.40 units for a flat bettor.

This will be the final game of 4 game series played in Chicago. Detroit won all 3 games last days, 7-3 on Monday, 6-2 on Tuesday and again 6-2 last night. They are leading the season series 4-2 outscoring the White Sox 34-29.

Detroit is leading American League Central with 56-44 record. They are 27-25 on the road and they are on 4 game winning streak. Chicago White Sox are last in the same division with 39-59 record, 16 games behind Detroit. They are the 3rd worst team in entire MLB and second worst home team in MLB with just 21 victories in 46 games played in Chicago.

Detroit is 24-15 against American League Central opponents while Chicago is only 11-21.

Detroit's offense has scored 505 runs so far, 136 more than Chicago's offense. Detroit is in the top 2 in MLB in most of the offensive stats. They have most hits in MLB with 991, best batting average (.280) and sharing the top with Boston with on-base-percentage of .346 . They are second in runs scored (505), RBI's (489) and OPS (.785).

Justin Verlander will be Detroit's starter today. He is 10-7, 3.69 ERA in 21 starts this season. Verlander is 14-11, 4.02 ERA in 28 career starts against the White Sox. He hasn't lost at Chicago since 2008, going 5-0 since. This being a day game it's important to notice that Verlander has been great in day games this season, going 6-2, 2.12 ERA in 11 day starts. Detroit is 18-3 in Verlander's last 21 starts during game 4 of a series, 15-4 in Verlander's last 19 road starts vs. a team with a losing record, 38-13 in Verlander's last 51 starts vs. American League Central teams and 16-7 in Verlander's last 23 Thursday starts.

Chicago White Sox are sending out Jake Peavy, who is 7-4, 4.19 ERA after 12 starts in 2013. He recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago against Atlanta, but has lost 2 previous games allowing 12 earned runs in 6.1 innings of work combined. Peavy has allowed 70 hits, including 11 home runs, in 73 innings pitched this season. He is 3-5, 4.80 ERA in 11 career starts against Detroit. Chicago White Sox are 2-6 in Peavy's last 8 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 3-15 in Peavy's last 18 starts as an underdog, 1-5 in Peavy's last 6 starts with 4 days of rest, 1-6 in Peavy's last 7 starts as a home underdog and 0-7 in Peavy's last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.

Detroit's right fielder Torii Hunter homered last night and is 6-for-13 with 5 RBI's against Peavy.

Detroit is 5-0 in Verlander's last 5 road starts against the White Sox, 12-2 in Verlander's last 14 starts against them and 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Chicago.

Chicago White Sox are 1-11 in their last 12 home games vs. a right-handed starter and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. They are 1-4 in Peavy's last 5 home starts against Detroit and 0-5 in Peavy's last 5 starts against Detroit and I expect them to lose tonight.