Friday, July 12, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 12th is Arizona

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Arizona:

Fixture: Milwaukee @ Arizona
Time/Date: 9:40 PM ET, July 12, 2013
Pick: Arizona
Odds: -163 (1.61 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle



This will be the second game of 4 game series played in Phoenix. Arizona is leading season series 4-0 after sweeping Milwaukee back in April and winning last night 5-3. Arizona outscored Milwaukee 25-13 in those 4 games.

Arizona Diamondbacks are the leaders of National League West with 48-44 record. They are 25-19 at home. Milwaukee is last in National League Central and second worst team in National League with 37-54 record. They are one of the worst road teams in MLB with just 15 victories in 43 away games.

Milwaukee's left fielder Ryan Braun missed last nights game and will skip at least two more after he was placed on the bereavement list due to a family medical issue.

Arizona's first baseman Paul Goldschmidt is on 8 game hitting streak. He is 13-for-31 in his career versus Milwaukee pitching.

Milwaukee is sending out left-handed Tom Gorzelanny, who is 1-2, 2.12 ERA after 2 starts and 32 relief appearances in 2013. He recorded those 2 losses in his last two games.

Patrick Corbin will be starting for Arizona tonight. He is 10-1, 2.40 ERA in 18 starts this season. Seven of his last 10 starts were quality ones. He has been perfect pitching at home, gong 6-0, 1.56 ERA in 9 starts. In his last start, 5 days ago, against Colorado he recorded a win allowing 1 earned run while striking out 10 in 8 innings of work. Corbin has only start against Milwaukee. On April 6 he gave up 2 runs in 6 innings of a 9-2 road victory. Arizona is 10-1 in Corbin's last 11 home starts, 9-1 in Corbin's last 10 starts as a home favorite, 5-1 in Corbin's last 6 starts vs. National League Central teams, 10-2 in Corbin's last 12 starts with 4 days of rest and 9-2 in Corbin's last 11 starts vs. a team with a losing record.

Arizona is 6-1 in last 7 home games against Milwaukee and I expect them to win tonight.


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