Monday, July 1, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 1st is Arizona

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Arizona:

Fixture: Arizona @ New York Mets
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 1, 2013
Pick: Arizona
Odds: -111 (1.90 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle




This will be the first game of 4 game series played in New York.

New York Mets are 4th in National League East with 33-45 record. They are the worst home team in MLB with just 15 victories in 40 games played in New York. Arizona is leading National League West with 42-39 record. They are 21-23 on the road this season.

Wade Miley will be starting for Arizona tonight. He is 4-7, 4.55 ERA in 16 starts this season. His away games ERA of 3.82 is much better compared to his home games ERA of 6.66. Miley is 0-2 in his last four starts despite allowing just 9 earned runs in 23.2 innings of work during that period. 3 of those 4 starts were quality ones.

New York Mets are sending out Shaun Marcum who is 1-9, 5.08 ERA after 10 starts and 2 relief appearances in 2013. Marcum remains winless at home. He is 0-5, 5.60 ERA in 6 home appearances (5 starts).

New York Mets are 2-6 in their last 8 vs. National League West teams, 5-18 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a losing road record, 2-8 in their last 10 during game 1 of a series and 1-4 in their last 5 Monday games.

Arizona is 6-1 in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400 and 8-3 in their last 11 games as a favorite and I expect them to win tonight.

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