MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 27th is Chicago White Sox

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Chicago White Sox:

Fixture: Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 27, 2013
Pick: Chicago White Sox
Odds: -166 (1.60 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

We are 7-4 with our last 11 picks.

This will be the second game of 3 game series played in Chicago. Kansas City won 5-1 last night. Season series is tied 5-5.Chicago outscored Kansas City 30-19 in those 10 games.

Chicago White Sox are last in American League Central with 40-60 record. Kansas City is third in the same division with 49-51 record.

Strong pitching is a main reason for Kansas City great results lately, but today the White Sox have a big advantage in starting pitching.

Kansas City is sending out Wade Davis, who is 4-9, 5.92 ERA in 19 starts this season. He has recorded 4 losses in his last 4 starts (with 10.91 ERA) allowing 19 earned runs and 12 walks in 15.2 innings of work combined. Davis is also 1-6, 5.88 ERA over his last 11 starts. He has baseball's highest ERA and WHIP (1.81) of any pitcher with at least 97 innings pitched. His away games ERA of 7.71 is more than 3 runs higher compared to his home games ERA of 4.55. Kansas City is 0-5 in Davis' last 5 starts.

Chris Sale will be starting for the White Sox tonight. He is 6-9, 2.81 ERA after 18 starts (including 2 complete games) in 2013. All of his last 5 starts were quality ones, but because of poor run support he is only 1-3 during that period. He had 51 strikeouts in those 5 games, pitching 3 times for 8 innings. Sale held Kansas City to 1 run in 7.1 innings on May 6 but was forced to settle for a no-decision. He is 3-0 in last 3 home starts against Kansas City. Chicago White Sox are 6-0 in Sale's last 6 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-0 in Sale's last 5 starts as a home favorite of -151 to -200, 8-1 in Sales last 9 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200 and 11-3 in Sales last 14 starts as a home favorite.

Chicago White Sox are 5-2 in Sale's last 7 starts against Kansas City.

Kansas City is 3-12 in their last 15 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200, 1-5 in their last 6 road games, 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15, 0-5 in their last 5 games as a road underdog and I expect them to lose tonight.