Tuesday, July 30, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 30th is Kansas City

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Kansas City:

Fixture: Kansas City @ Minnesota
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 30, 2013
Pick: Kansas City
Odds: -127 (1.79 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle




This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Minneapolis. Kansas City leads the season series 7-3, outscoring Minnesota 45-32.

Kansas City is third in American League Central with 51-51 record. They are 8-2 after the All Star break and on 6 game winning streak. Minnesota is fourth in the same division with 45-57 record. They are 23-24 at home.

Minnesota's catcher Joe Mauer is coming back to the lineup after missing 6 games because he was with his wife for the birth of their twins. Although he is one of the American Leagues top hitters at .324, he is just 7 for 43 (.163) with 10 strikeouts against Kansas City,

Mike Pelfrey will be Minnesota's starter. He is 4-8, 5.15 ERA after 18 starts in 2013. Pelfrey recorded just 1 win in in his last 12 starts, losing 5 games during that period. He is 2-3, 5.33 ERA in 9 home starts. Pelfrey is 0-1, 9.72 ERA in 2 career starts against Kansas City. Minnesota is 3-7 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts on grass, 2-7 in Pelfrey's last 9 starts as an underdog and 2-8 in Pelfrey's last 10 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

Kansas City is sending out Ervin Santana, who is 6-6, 3.06 ERA in 20 starts this season. Santana was excellent in his last 2 starts, recording a win against Detroit and a no-decision against Baltimore. In 15.1 innings of work combined he has allowed just. Santana is 3-0, 2.08 ERA in his last 4 starts against Minnesota. Kansas City is 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts vs. American League Central teams, 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest and 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts.

Kansas City is 7-0 in their last 7 games as a favorite and 10-4 in the last 14 meetings against Minnesota and I expect the to win tonight.

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