MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 5th is Boston

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Boston:

Fixture: Boston @ LA Angels
Time/Date: 10:05 PM ET, July 5, 2013
Pick: Boston
Odds: +124 (2.24 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Los Angeles. Boston leads the season series 2-1.

Boston Red Sox are leading American League with 53-34 record. They are 22-18 on the road and they are on a 4 game winning streak. LA Angels are 3rd in American League West with 41-44 record. They are 22-24 at home.

Boston won 8 out their last 9 games. They are leading most of the offensive stats in MLB. They've scored most runs - 445, most RBI's - 434, they have the best on-base-percentage - .351 and the best slugging percentage - .450.

Boston's center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury is batting .424 during his 14-game hitting streak. Their second baseman Dustin Pedroia is batting .486 with 8 RBI's in his last 10 games overall, and .378 in his last 9 against Los Angeles. He is 8 for 17 with a home run and 3 doubles against Angels' starter C.J. Wilson.

C.J. Wilson is 8-5, 3.63 ERA after 17 starts in 2013. He has recorded 4 wins in his last 4 starts, but he is 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA in 3 starts against Boston. LA Angels are 1-5 in Wilson's last 6 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

Felix Doubront will be starting for Boston tonight. He is 4-3, 4.22 ERA in 14 starts and 1 relief appearance this season. He went 1-1, 2.75 ERA in 6 June starts.

Boston is 6-0 in their last 6 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 6-1 in their last 7 games following a win, 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Los Angeles and I expect them to win tonight.