MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for May 1st is Atlanta

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Atlanta:

Fixture: Atlanta @ Miami
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, May 01, 2014
Pick: Atlanta
Odds: -128 (1.78 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

Reason for the pick:
Atlanta is 5-1 in their last 6 games following a loss.
Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Atlanta is 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Atlanta is 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts as a favorite.
Atlanta is 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Atlanta is 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts.
Atlanta is 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts on grass.
Miami is 1-4 in Alvarez's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Miami is 1-4 in Alvarez's last 5 starts.
Miami is 1-4 in Alvarez's last 5 starts on grass.
Miami is 1-5 in Alvarez's last 6 starts with 5 days of rest.
Miami is 1-8 in Alvarez's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
Miami is 1-8 in Alvarez's last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Miami is 0-5 in Alvarez's last 5 starts vs. National League East.
Atlanta is 40-17 in the last 57 h2h meetings.