MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 4th is Cincinnati

Hi all,

July 4th pick by MLB Daily Picks is Cincinnati.

Fixture: Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Time/Date: 7:15 PM ET, July 04, 2015 
Pick: Cincinnati
Odds: +108 (2.08 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

Reason for the picks:
Milwaukee is 1-6 in their last 7 Saturday games.
Milwaukee is 2-8 in Nelson's last 10 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Milwaukee is 1-4 in Nelson's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Milwaukee is 2-8 in Nelson's last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Milwaukee is 1-4 in Nelson's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Milwaukee is 2-10 in Nelson's last 12 starts with 4 days of rest.
Cincinnati is 7-1 in their last 8 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.