Friday, August 30, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for August 30th is Detroit

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Detroit:

Fixture: Cleveland @ Detroit
Time/Date: 7:08 PM ET, August 30, 2013
Pick: Detroit
Odds: -145 (1.69 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle



This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Detroit. Detroit is leading the season series 13-3, outscoring Cleveland 103-59. Cleveland's pitching staff has posted a 5.82 ERA against Detroit this season.

Detroit is leading American League Central with 78-56 record and they are 42-26 at home. Cleveland is second in the same division with 71-62 record, 6.5 games behind Detroit. Cleveland is 31-36 in away games.

Cleveland is coming to Detroit from Atlanta where they were swept in 3 game series, scoring just 3 runs. They went 0-for-18 with runners in scoring position in Atlanta. Cleveland is 1-7 in their last 8 during game 1 of a series, 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a winning record and 0-4 in their last 4 Friday games.

Zach McAllister will be starting for Cleveland tonight. He is 7-7, 3.51 ERA in 18 starts this season. McAllister is pitching very well lately, going 3-0, 1.83 ERA in last 3 games, but he hasn't very good results against Detroit this year. He went 0-1, 7.56 ERA in 2 starts against them. He pitched just 2.1 innings versus Detroit on August 8, allowing 6 runs.

Detroit is sending out Rick Porcello, who is 10-7, 4.49 ERA after 24 starts and 1 relief appearance in 2013. He recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago against the Mets in New York. In 7 innings of work he has allowed 3 earned runs, while striking out 4. He is 6-1, 3.38 ERA over his last nine starts. Porcello has held Cleveland to a 1.42 ERA in 3 outings this season, going 2-0 with 19 strikeouts in 19 innings of work combined. Detroit is 6-1 in Porcello's last 7 starts as a favorite, 5-1 in Porcellos last 6 starts with 4 days of rest and 7-2 in Porcellos last 9 starts. Detroit is 6-2 in Porcello's last 8 home starts against Cleveland.

Detroit is 12-1 in last 13 games against Cleveland and I expect them to win tonight.

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