MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 11th is Miami

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Miami.

Fixture: Miami @ NY Mets 
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, July 11, 2014
Pick: Miami
Odds: +105 (2.05 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

Reason for the pick:
Miami is 4-0 in Alvarez's last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Miami is 5-0 in Alvarez's last 5 road starts.
Miami is 4-0 in Alvarez's last 4 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Miami is 7-0 in Alvarez's last 7 starts as an underdog.
Miami is 6-0 in Alvarez's last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Miami is 7-0 in Alvarez's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record.
Miami is 7-0 in Alvarez's last 7 starts vs. National League East teams.
Miami is 5-0 in Alvarez's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Miami is 5-0 in Alvarez's last 5 starts as a road underdog.
Miami is 11-1 in Alvarez's last 12 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Miami is 13-3 in Alvarez's last 16 starts.
Miami is 13-3 in Alvarez's last 16 starts on grass.
NY Mets are 1-4 in Wheeler's last 5 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Miami is 4-1 in Alvarez's last 5 starts vs. NY Mets.