MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 18th is Minnesota

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Minnesota.

Fixture: Tampa Bay @ Minnesota 
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, July 18, 2014
Pick: Minnesota
Odds: +116 (2.16 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

Reason for the pick:
Tampa Bay is 1-4 in Cobb's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Tampa Bay is 0-4 in Cobb's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
Minnesota is 4-0 in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
Minnesota is 5-1 in their last 6 games as an underdog.
Minnesota is 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Minnesota is 5-1 in their last 6 games on grass.
Minnesota is 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
Minnesota is 7-1 in Gibson's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.