MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for July 3rd is Baltimore

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Baltimore:

Fixture: Texas @ Baltimore 
Time/Date: 7:05 PM ET, July 3, 2014
Pick: Baltimore
Odds: +105 (2.05 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

Reason for the pick:
Texas is 1-4 in their last 5 games as a favorite of -110 to -150.
Texas is 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Texas is 3-13 in their last 16 games following a loss.
Texas is 3-13 in their last 16 overall.
Texas is 3-13 in their last 16 games on grass.
Texas is 1-5 in their last 6 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Texas is 1-8 in their last 9 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Texas is 0-8 in their last 8 road games.
Texas is 0-8 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas is 0-5 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Texas is 0-11 in their last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
Texas is 0-5 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Texas is 0-9 in their last 9 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Baltimore is 6-1 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Baltimore is 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League West.
Baltimore is 7-1 in Chens last 8 starts as a home underdog.
Texas is 1-10 in the last 11 h2h meetings.
Texas is 0-5 in the last 5 h2h meetings in Baltimore.