Fixture: LA Angels @ Toronto
Time/Date: 7:07 PM ET, September 10, 2013
Pick: Toronto
Odds: -137 (1.73 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle
This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Toronto. LA Angels took 3 out of 4, 40 days ago in Los Angeles.
Toronto is last in American League East with 67-76 record. They are on 3 games winning streak. LA Angels are third in American League West with exactly the same record as Toronto.
Toronto is coming back home from 5-1 road trip. They are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series, 4-0 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record, 8-1 in their last 9 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days, 5-1 in their last 6 overall and 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.
LA Angels are 1-7 in their last 8 Tuesday games and 1-7 in their last 8 road games vs. a left-handed starter.
Toronto is sending out left-handed Mark Buehrle, who is 11-7, 3.88 ERA in 29 starts this season. He is 6-1, 2.21 ERA in 10 start since the All-Star break. In 7 out of those 10 starts he has allowed 2 earned runs or less. Buehrle has been excellent pitching at home. He is 8-2, 2.72 ERA in 14 starts in Toronto. Toronto is 7-0 in Buehrle's last 7 starts as a home favorite, 5-0 in Buehrle's last 5 starts as a favorite, 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 7-0 in Buehrle's last 7 starts vs. American League West teams and 4-0 in Buehrle's last 4 home starts.
Jerome Williams will be starting for the Angels tonight. He is 6-10, 4.60 ERA after 21 starts and 12 relief appearances in 2013. He recorded a win in his last start against Tampa Bay 5 days ago, but was winless since June 12, going 0-8 in 13 outings during that period. LA Angels are 1-4 in Williams' last 5 road starts, 1-4 in Williams' last 5 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 2-8 in Williams' last 10 starts and 1-6 in Williams' last 7 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150.
Toronto has won 10 of its last 13 and I expect them to win tonight.
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