MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 12th is Cleveland

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Cleveland:

Fixture: Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, September 12, 2013
Pick: Cleveland
Odds: -128 (1.78 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the first game of 4 game series played in Chicago. Cleveland is leading season series 11-2, outscoring the White Sox 74-45.

Cleveland is second in American League Central with 77-68 record, 1.5 games behind second wild card spot. Chicago White Sox are last in the same division with 58-87 record, 19 games behind Cleveland. They are 33-36 at home.

Chicago is in poor form, they've lost 11 of 13 after dropping two of three versus Detroit at home. Their first baseman Adam Dunn has one hit in 24 at-bats, rookie outfielder Avisail Garcia is 1-for-15 and shortstop Alexei Ramirez was hitless in 11 at-bats in 3 games against Detroit. Chicago White Sox are 2-8 in their last 10 games vs. a right-handed starter.

Corey Kluber will be starting for Cleveland tonight. He is 8-5, 3.54 ERA in 20 starts and 2 relief appearances this season. He recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago in New York against the Mets allowing 2 earned runs and striking out 5 in 5 innings of work. It was his first start after being on disabled list for almost a month. On July 31 Kluber recorded a no-decision in start vs. the White Sox after allowing 4 earned runs in 8.2 innings of work. Cleveland is 6-1 in Kluber's last 7 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-1 in Kluber's last 6 starts as a favorite and 4-1 in Kluber's last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.

Chicago White Sox are sending out John Danks, who is 4-12, 4.45 ERA after 20 starts in 2013. Danks recorded 2 losses in his last 2 starts allowing 9 earned runs on 18 hits in 10.1 innings of work combined. In his last start, in Baltimore 5 days ago, Danks has allowed 3 home runs, the 4th time this season he has allowed at least 3. Chicago White Sox are 2-8 in Danks' last 10 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 1-4 in Danks' last 5 home starts, 2-8 in Danks' last 10 starts and 1-6 in Danks' last 7 starts vs. American League Central teams. The White Sox are 0-4 in Danks' last 4 home starts against Cleveland.

Cleveland is 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record, 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record and 5-1 in their last 6 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150.

Cleveland is 8-0 in last 8 games against the White Sox and I expect them to win tonight.