Wednesday, September 4, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 4th is Pittsburgh

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Pittsburgh:

Fixture: Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Time/Date: 8:10 PM ET, September 4, 2013
Pick: Pittsburgh
Odds: -148 (1.68 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle



This will be the final game of 3 game series played in Milwaukee. Pittsburgh won 5-2 on Monday and 4-3 last night. Pittsburgh is leading the season series 12-6, outscoring Milwaukee 80-66.

Pittsburgh is leading National League Central with 81-57 record. They are 36-32 on the road. Milwaukee is 4th in the same division with 59-79 record, 22 games behind Pittsburgh. Milwaukee is 30-40 at home.

Milwaukee is 0-5 in their last 5 games, all home games. They are 2-11 in their last 13 home games vs. a left-handed starter.

Left handed Francisco Liriano will be starting for Pittsburgh tonight. He is 15-6, 2.57 ERA in 21 starts this season. In five out of his last ten starts he hasn't allowed an earned run, pitching at least 7 innings in each of those 5 starts. He recorded a win in his last start 5 days ago against St. Louis, throwing 8 scoreless innings, while striking out 6. Liriano is 2-0, 1.54 ERA in 2 starts against Milwaukee this year and 6-2, 3.27 ERA in 9 starts and 1 relief appearance in his career against them. Pittsburgh is 5-0 in Liriano's last 5 Wednesday starts, 7-1 in Liriano's last 8 starts with 4 days of rest, 10-2 in Liriano's last 12 starts vs. a team with a losing record, 5-1 in Liriano's last 6 starts vs. National League Central teams and 10-3 in Liriano's last 13 starts.

Milwaukee is sending out Wily Peralta, who is 8-14, 4.51 ERA after 28 starts in 2013. Peralta is 1-5 in his last 8 starts. He is winless at home since July 9 and he is 4-8, 5.12 ERA in 14 home starts this year. Milwaukee is 1-5 in Peralta's last 6 starts during game 3 of a series, 1-8 in Peralta's last 9 starts against National League Central teams, 0-4 in Peralta's last 4 starts as an underdog and 0-4 in Peralta's last 4 starts.

Pittsburgh's center fielder Andrew McCutchen is batting .360 with 5 home runs and 12 RBI's against Milwaukee this year.

Pittsburgh is 4-0 in their last 4 games in Milwaukee and I expect them to win tonight.

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