Thursday, September 5, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 5th is Baltimore

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Baltimore:

Fixture: Chicago White Sox @ Baltimore
Time/Date: 7:05 PM ET, September 5, 2013
Pick: Baltimore
Odds: -150 (1.67 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle



This will be the first game of 4 game series played in Baltimore. Chicago is leading season series 2-1 after taking 2 out of 3 in Chicago back in July.

Baltimore is 4th in American League East with 73-65 record and they are 38-29 at home. Baltimore is 4 games behind second wild card spot. Chicago White Sox are last in American League Central with 56-82 record. They are one of the worst road teams in MLB with 48 losses in 70 away games. Chicago is on 6 game losing streak.

Baltimore is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite, 6-2 in their last 8 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days and 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a losing record.

Baltimore's third baseman Manny Machado is on 8 game hitting streak. Their first baseman Chris Davis leads the majors with 47 home runs.

Miguel Gonzalez will be starting for Baltimore tonight. He is 8-7, 4.11 ERA in 23 starts and 2 relief appearances this season. Gonzalez is much better pitching at home where he went 5-2, 4.02 ERA in 10 starts and 1 relief appearance. Baltimore is 8-1 in Gonzalez's last 9 starts as a home favorite, 6-1 in Gonzalez's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record, 12-2 in Gonzalez's last 14 home starts, 5-1 in Gonzalez's last 6 Thursday starts and 4-1 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts vs. American League Central teams.

Chicago White Sox are sending out Jose Quintana, who is 7-5, 3.69 ERA after 28 starts this year. His last start, 3 days ago in New York, was cut short because of rain after just 1 inning. He still recorded a loss. Quintana is 0-1, 4.22 ERA in 2 career starts against Baltimore. Chicago White Sox are 3-7 in Quintana's last 10 starts during game 1 of a series and 2-8 in Quintana's last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.

Baltimore is 5-1 in their last 6 games as a home favorite and i expect them to win tonight.

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