MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 3rd is Arizona

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is Arizona:

Fixture: Toronto @ Arizona
Time/Date: 9:40 PM ET, September 3, 2013
Pick: Arizona
Odds: -145 (1.69 in decimal odds) @ Pinnacle

This will be the second game of 3 game Interleague series played in Phoenix. Toronto won 4-1 last night.

Arizona is holding the second place in National League West with 69-67 record, 7 games behind 2nd wild card spot currently held by Cincinnati. They are 39-30 at home. Toronto is last in American League East with 63-75 record, they are 28-41 on the road.

Toronto is 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road underdog and 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a winning record.

Wade Miley will be starting for Arizona tonight. He is 9-9, 3.55 ERA in 27 starts this season. Miley recorded a loss in his last start despite allowing just 2 earned runs in 7 innings of work, while striking out 5. Since start of July, he has been Arizona's most consistent pitcher, recording a 2.29 ERA during that period. Miley is 2-0 in 4 outings against American League East teams this season. Arizona is 5-0 in Miley's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest, 6-1 in Miley's last 7 home starts, 4-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as a home favorite, 4-1 in Miley's last 5 starts as a favorite and 4-1 in Miley's last 5 interleague starts.

Toronto's starter will be Todd Redmond, who is 2-2, 4.30 ERA after 9 starts and 3 relief appearances in 2013. Both losses came on the road where he is 0-2, 7.06 ERA in 4 starts and 2 relief appearances. Toronto is 1-4 in Redmond's last 5 starts.

Arizona is 5-1 in their last 6 vs. American League East teams, 5-1 in their last 6 Interleague games, 22-5 in their last 27 Interleague games as a favorite of -110 to -150, 13-3 in their last 16 Interleague home games and I expect them to win tonight.