Friday, September 6, 2013

MLB Daily Picks – FREE pick for September 6th is LA Dodgers

MLB Daily Picks FREE pick of the day is LA Dodgers:

Fixture: LA Dodgers @ Cincinnati
Time/Date: 7:10 PM ET, September 6, 2013
Pick: LA Dodgers
Odds: +123 (2.23 in decimal odds) @ 5Dimes



This will be the first game of 3 game series played in Cincinnati. LA Dodgers are leading season series 3-1.

LA Dodgers are leading National League West with 83-56 record. They are 40-28 on the road. Cincinnati is 3rd in National League Central with 79-62 record.

LA Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games following an off day, 7-0 in their last 7 Friday games, 9-1 in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a winning record, 7-1 in their last 8 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150, 24-4 in their last 28 road games, 12-2 in their last 14 vs. National League Central teams and 13-3 in their last 16 games following a loss.

Cincinnati is 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a left-handed starter, 1-5 in their last 6 games following a win, 1-5 in their last 6 Friday games and 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.

A left handed Chris Capuano will be starting for the Dodgers tonight. He is 4-7, 4.41 ERA in 19 starts and 2 relief appearances this season. He recorded a no-decision in his last start 6 days ago in San Diego allowing just 1 earned run in in 7 innings of work, while striking out 7. He faced Cincinnati on July 28 and he was excellent. In 6.2 innings he hasn't allowed an earned run or a walk, while striking out 4. LA Dodgers are 4-0 in Capuano's last 4 starts with 5 days of rest, 8-1 in Capuano's last 9 starts, 7-1 in Capuano's last 8 starts on grass, 5-1 in Capuano's last 6 road starts and 4-1 in Capuano's last 5 starts as a road underdog.

Cincinnati is sending out Mike Leake, who is 11-6, 3.51 ERA after 27 starts in 2013. Neither of his last 4 starts was a quality one. In his last start, 5 days ago in Denver, he has allowed 6 earned runs on 8 hits with 2 walks in 4.1 innings of work. Leake has allowed 27 earned runs in his last 6 starts. Cincinnati is 2-5 in Leake's last 7 starts, 2-5 in Leake's last 7 starts on grass and 1-4 in Leake's last 5 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150.

LA Dodgers outfielder Andre Ethier is 5-for-9 with a pair of home runs versus Leake.

LA Dodgers are 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Cincinnati and 35-16 in the last 51 meetings against Cincinnati and I expect them to win tonight.

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